Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte remains ahead of his rivals for the presidential race, as shown by the latest results of the BusinessWorld-SWS Pre-Election Survey revealed on Friday.
The latest national scores in the survey conducted by Social Weather Stations in the presidential race are Duterte, 33 percent; Senator Grace Poe, 22 percent; administration candidate and Liberal Party standard bearer Manuel Roxas, 20 percent; Vice President Jejomar Binay, 13 percent; and Senator Miriam Defensor Santiago, 2 percent.
Undecided and others made up four percent.
The latest SWS survey was frst reported in Business World on May 6.
The Business World-SWS May 1 to 3, 2016 Pre-Election Survey also found that Senator Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and LP running mate Leni Robredo tied for the lead in vice presidential race.
However, the SWS said six percent of the validated voter-respondents dropped in ballots with invalid markings.
The question asked to the respondents was, “Kung ang eleksyon ay gaganapin ngayon, sino ang pinakamalamang ninyong iboboto bilang PRESIDENTE, BISE-PRESIDENTE, PARTY-LIST REPRESENTATIVE AT MGA SENADOR ng PILIPINAS? Narito ang listahan ng mga kandidato. Paki shade o itiman po ang naaangkop na oval katabi ng pangalan ng taong pinakamalamang ninyong iboboto. [If the elections were held today, whom would you most probably vote for PRESIDENT, VICE-PRESIDENT, AND SENATORS of the PHILIPPINES? Here is a list of candidates. Please shade the oval beside the name of the persons you would most likely vote for.]”
The respondents filled in their ballots in private, and then deposited them in a container brought by the interviewer.
Vice presidential race
The latest scores in the vice presidential race are: Senator Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr., 29 percent; Rep. Leni “Daang Matuwid’’ Robredo, 28 percent; Senator Francis “Chiz” Escudero, 15 percent; Senator Alan Peter Cayetano, 13 percent; Senator Gringo Honasan, three percent; and Senator Antonio Trillanes IV, three percent.
Undecided/others voters accounted for five percent.
Four percent handed in ballots with invalid markings.
Senatorial race
The May 1 to 3, 2016 survey listed two Liberal Party candidates, one Nationalist People’s Coalition candidate, one United Nationalist Alliance candidate, and one Akbayan candidate in statistical position to take the five seats in the senatorial elections.
It has four independent candidates, three LP candidates, and one NPC candidate in statistical contention for the last seven seats.
Leading the circle of 12 are 1. Frank Drilon 42 percent, 2. Vicente Sotto 39 percent, 3-4. Kiko Pangilinan 34 percent, Manny Pacquiao 34 percent, and 5. Risa Hontiveros 33 percent.
The remaining eight seats are being contended by 6-8. Panfilo Lacson (IND), Sergio Osmeña III (IND) and Joel Tesdaman Villanueva (LP), each with 31%, 9-10. Dick Gordon (IND) and Ralph Recto (LP), each with 30%, 11-12. Migz Zubiri (IND) and Leila De Lima (LP), each with 29%, and 13. Win Gatchalian (NPC) 27%.
About 8% were undecided/others, while 6% handed in ballots with invalid markings.
Using the ballot box technique, 29% chose a full slate of 12 names, with the average number of names chosen at 7.6.
Party List
AKO BICOL led 16 groups poised to gain at least one guaranteed party-list seat in the next House of Representatives, while the 29 parties next in rank are possible qualifiers for at least one party-list seat, based on the computation for the distribution of available party-list seats (Supreme Court ruling of April 21, 2009, BANAT vs COMELEC, G.R. No. 179271.).
Of the 59 maximum seats reserved under the Party-List System, the following 16 parties are poised to gain one guaranteed seat each by obtaining at least 2.0% of votes cast for party list: AKO BICOL 5.82%, GABRIELA 5.58%, 1PACMAN 4.79%, SENIOR CITIZENS 3.92%, ACT TEACHERS 3.38%, KABAYAN 3.18%, AGRI 3.17%, BUHAY 3.01%, AN WARAY 2.63%, ABONO 2.54%, YACAP 2.51%, BAYAN MUNA 2.27%, AKBAYAN 2.27%, DIWA 2.18%, ANG KABUHAYAN 2.08%, and KALINGA 2.06%.
The remaining 43 seats will be allocated to the parties above and the parties next in rank until all available seats are distributed, with the condition that any qualified party is entitled to a maximum of only three seats.
Applying the computation for the distribution of available seats, the 29 parties next in rank poised to gain at least one party-list seat are: AMIN, AAMBIS-OWA, A TEACHER, INC., PBA, CIBAC, LPGMA, BUTIL, AASENSO, COOP-NATCCO, ABANG LINGKOD, ANAKALUSUGAN, 1-ANG EDUKASYON, ALONA, MANILA TEACHERS, ANAKPAWIS, TUCP, ABAMIN, AGAP, ALAY BUHAY, TINGOG SINIRANGAN, ACTS-OFW, ANAC-IP, ALL-FISH, KABATAAN, AWAT MINDANAO, ADDA, MAGDALO, ABAKADA, and ANGKLA.
